The Iowa State Cyclones (6-2 overall, 6-1 Big 12) visit the Texas Longhorns (5-2, 4-2) Friday for a noon ET contest at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas. Below, we analyze the Iowa State-Texas college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The Cyclones are ranked No. 15 and the Longhorns are No. 21 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Iowa State at Texas: Betting odds, spread and lines
Iowa State at Texas: Three things to know
Iowa State RB Breece Hall leads the nation in rushing with 1,169 yards. Hall has piled up eight 100-yard games in 2020 – every ISU game this season. He ran for 101 yards on 24 carries when these teams met in Ames, Iowa, last season (Nov. 16, 2019). The Cyclones won that game 23-21 on PK Connor Assalley’s 36-yard field goal as time expired. Iowa State – a 7-point favorite – led Texas 20-7 heading into the fourth quarter, but the Longhorns battled back to take a 21-20 lead on a pair of touchdown tosses by QB Sam Ehlinger before the Cyclones kicked the winning field goal.
The Cyclones and Longhorns control their own destinies in attempting to reach the Dec. 19 Big 12 Championship Game. But ISU will need to flip some historical trends if it wants to get there and win it. Iowa State has beaten Texas just three times in 17 all-time meetings, and the Cyclones only have won once in Austin (2010). ISU hasn’t won a conference title since 1912 and has never played in a conference championship game.
Texas hasn’t played since Nov. 7, when it registered a 17-13 home win over West Virginia. The Longhorns’ Nov. 21 game at Kansas was postponed due to positive COVID-19 tests within the Jayhawks program. Following bye/postponement weeks this season, the ‘Horns are 2-0 straight-up and 0-1-1 ATS.
Iowa State at Texas: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Iowa State 29, Texas 27
Money line (ML)
Iowa State is the lean in principle, but PASS unless you can find your way to some value on a play at +110 or better.
Against the spread (ATS)
The Cyclones are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings with the Longhorns. Analytics are more in support of what ISU has done on the season as a whole, but the Texas defense has been solid over recent games.
The Iowa State passing game against a weak Texas pass defense makes for a big difference maker in this one. Back the CYCLONES +1 (-110).
The Under is 22-4 in the Longhorns’ last 26 home games against foes with a winning record. The Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the Longhorns and Cyclones, and the low side is the lean in Saturday’s tilt in Austin. Back the UNDER 56.5 (-110).
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