NCAAF Daily Discussion – 11/21/20 (Saturday)

44-64-1 -20.33 well fuck you too big ten refs I suck enough as it is and then you gotta do me like that

Coastal Carolina -5.5 vs. Appalachian State (-110) im just gonna ride or die with the Chanticleers at this point even if this is their toughest test so far, really believe in this offense that is averaging 6.6 yards per play, defense really coming along in the past 3-4 games too. App State is coming off a really bad offensive performance against Georgia State, only time we’ve seen them against good team this year they lost 17-7 to Marshall

Indiana +20.5 vs. Ohio State (-110) don’t think Indiana will put a real scare into them or anything but thats a lot of points, Hoosiers are a very balanced team on both sides of the ball, Penix Jr. can make some plays at QB. SP+ is way too low on Indiana imo and has this as a 19-point game.

Arkansas +1 vs. LSU (-110) LSU cannot stop anyone, giving up 7.2 yards per play for the season and a lot of points to some bad offenses. Arkansas finally dropped one ATS last weekend against Florida but they’ve really played hard this year, good chance here to take down a big name program.

Cincinnati -5 vs. UCF (-110) I just have to stick with the Bearcats as they are crushing people right now, this will be one of their tougher tests of course but UCF is a bit down, lost game to the best teams its played in Memphis/Tulsa and could be in a lot of trouble defensively with Cincinnati routinely putting up 40+ in recent weeks.

Iowa -1 vs. Penn State (-105) Penn State is just not good and the redzone playcalling has been..suspect. Iowa’s defense figures to be the best unit on the field this game and is only giving up 4.2 yards per play.

UCLA vs. Oregon over 64 (-110) well well well..maybe Chip Kelly’s offense has some life after all and he can hang around for a half here and put up some points. Doubt they stop Oregon much though and Shoguh showed he can throw downfield last weekend.

Wisconsin -7.5 vs. Northwestern (-110) I do think NW is a legit good team but this might be a bit much to handle, they can play very well and still easily lose by 10. Wisconsin appears to have a QB and some creativity on offense, to go along with the defense and running game which is always good every year.

Auburn -10.5 vs Tennessee (-110) Tennessee is in free fall mode, always a bit sketch counting on Bo Nix but don’t think that Vols offense that’s 94th in SP+ is going to get much done against this defense.

Liberty +4.5 vs. NC State (-110) Malik Wills is a very good dual-threat QB and has led Liberty to a mark of 6.8 yards per play, probably another crazy back-and-forth game like the win over VT but I’ll take the points as NC State is not a good defense.

Oklahoma State +7 vs. Oklahoma (-105) expecting Oklahoma to win this game as always but thinking it will be closer than this, OkSt’s defense can keep them in the game and this probably isnt a great Oklahoma team, four-game win streak isn’t against the best competition other than Texas

Utah +2.5 vs. USC (-105) have a lot more faith in the Utah coaching staff (at least during the regular season) and USC got fortunate with a total choke from AzSt and barely beat a bad Arizona team, don’t think the Trojans defense is good at all and Kedon Slovis looks off or injured.

Boise State vs. Hawaii over 56 (-110) gotta end a long day with an over, what’s the fun in anything else. Boise State should continue scoring a ton of points as long as one of their top 2 QBs is healthy and they have a massive talent advantage over the Hawaii defense. Don’t love the defense though which is 54th in SP+

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