- The Green Bay Packers are slim one-point road favorites for their meeting with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday
- John Perrotto betting record: 3-3 (-0.8 units lost)
- A look at the odds, lines and spreads as well as game analysis can be found below
Two of the top quarterbacks in NFL history face each other Sunday when Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers visit Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a 4:25 p.m. ET (October 18) game at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa.
The Packers are 4-0 coming off their bye week. That makes them one of four unbeaten teams in the NFL along with the Pittsburgh Steelers, Seattle Seahawks and Tennessee Titans.
Brady has led the Buccaneers to a 3-2 record in his first season with Tampa Bay following 20 years with the New England Patriots. The Buccaneers fell to the Bears 20-19 in Week 5 at Chicago.
The Packers are slight one-point favorites.
Packers vs Buccaneers Odds
|Green Bay Packers||-112||-1 (-110)||Over 55.5 (-105)|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||-104||+1 (-110)||Under 55.5 (-115)|
Odds taken Oct. 17
Quite the QB Matchup
Rodgers and Brady are meeting as starters for just the third time in their long careers.
In 2018, Brady and the Patriots beat the Packers 31-17 at home as a five-point favorite. Brady passed for 294 yards and one touchdown. Rodgers finished with 259 yards and two scores.
The Packers covered as a three-point home favorite in 2014, 26-21 over the Patriots. Rodgers had 368 yards and two touchdowns. Brady threw for 245 yards and two TDs.
Aaron Rodgers’ 92.8 Total QBR is the highest by any player through 4 games since QBR was first tracked in 2006.
2nd and 3rd on the list are 2013 Peyton Manning and 2007 Tom Brady.
They both won MVP & set set the NFL record for touchdown passes in a season in those years. pic.twitter.com/s9z2KYbvC7
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) October 6, 2020
So far this season, Brady has completed 64% of his passes for 1,375 yards and 12 touchdowns with four interceptions.
Rodgers has 13 TDs and no picks while completing 71% of his attempts for 1,214 yards.
Rodgers is averaging 8.7 yards an attempt and Brady 7.0.
Most Big-Time Throws this season:
1. Russell Wilson – 19
2. Tom Brady – 16
3. Aaron Rodgers – 15 pic.twitter.com/qHLxAwuIxs
— PFF (@PFF) October 13, 2020
Brady has the second-most passing yards in NFL history and Rodgers is 12th on the list.
The last meeting between the Packers and Buccaneers occurred in 2017. A three-point favorite, Green Bay won at home 26-20 on Aaron Jones’ 20-yard touchdown run in overtime.
Rodgers was injured and did not play yet the Packers won despite just 84 passing yards by Brett Hundley. Jamaal Williams rushed for 113 yards on 21 carries.
Adding More Weapons
Both Rodgers and Brady will be regaining Pro Bowl wide receivers Sunday.
Davante Adams will be back for the Packers after missing the last two games with a hamstring injury. Adams tied the franchise record with 14 catches in Week 1. He also had 156 receiving yards and two touchdowns in the 43-34 road win over the Minnesota Vikings.
The Packers have still thrived without Adams.
Week 1: Davante Adams ties a franchise record with 14 catches
Week 2: Aaron Jones has a career-high 168 rushing yards
Week 3: Allen Lazard has a career-high 146 receiving yards
Week 4: Robert Tonyan now with a career-high 3 TDs, becoming the 3rd #Packers TE to do it in a game.
— Wes Hodkiewicz (@WesHod) October 6, 2020
Godwin sat out three of last four games with a strained hamstring but took part in practice Friday. He had 11 receptions for 143 yards in the first two games.
Godwin had a breakout season in 2019, his third year in the league, with 86 catches for 1,333 yards and nine TDs.
Mike Evans, another Pro Bowl wide receiver, has compensated for Godwin’s absence with a league-leading six touchdown receptions. He is the only player in the NFL to score in each game this season.
Strength Against Strength
The Packers offensive line has done an outstanding job of protecting the 36-year-old Rodgers. He has been sacked an NFL-low three times in four games.
Conversely, the Buccaneers are fourth in the league with 17 sacks. Jason Pierre-Paul leads the team with four while Shaquil Barrett has recorded three and five other players have two.
Paul is certainly confident of the Buccaneers’ chances Sunday.
OLB Jason Pierre-Paul: “I’m looking forward to playing Green Bay and giving them their first loss.”
— Carmen Vitali (@CarmieV) October 13, 2020
Tampa Bay is even better against the run. They lead the league in rushing defense as they are allowing just 58.4 yards a game.
Bet the Packers to Cover
The Buccaneers opened as a one-point favor and the line has since swung in the Packers’ favor.
This a tough one to call and it should be a good ballgame. However, Rodgers and the Packers are rolling through the season so far and it is hard to pick against them.
The Pick: Packers -1 (-110)