Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

The Pittsburgh Steelers (11-1) visit the Buffalo Bills (9-3) for the Week 14 Sunday Night Football game at 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Steelers-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Steelers at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 a.m. ET.

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Steelers at Bills: Game notes

  • The Steelers are coming off their first loss of the season, suffering a surprising 23-17 upset at home by the Washington Football Team Monday in Week 13. Pittsburgh, which was a 6-point favorite, led 14-3 at the half and 17-10 early in the fourth quarter before, but Washington rallied and kicked the go-ahead field goal with 2:07 left. The Steelers really struggled on the ground, finishing with just 21 rushing yards on 14 carries.

  • The Bills, who lead the Miami Dolphins (8-4) by one game atop the AFC East, have won two in a row and five of six. In Week 13, QB Josh Allen threw for 375 yards and a career-tying four TDs in an impressive 34-24 victory vs. the San Francisco 49ers in the Monday Night Football game. The 49ers were the home team – and 1.5-point favorites – but the game was played in Glendale, Ariz., due to COVID-19 protocol rules in Santa Clara County, Calif.
  • With its first loss, Pittsburgh now has the same record as the Kansas City Chiefs. The Steelers, however, hold the tiebreaker for the AFC’s No. 1 seed because of a better win percentage in conference games (with 4 weeks to go).
  • Pittsburgh holds a two-game lead over the Cleveland Browns (9-3) in the AFC North. The two will meet in Cleveland in their regular-season finale in Week 17.
  • The Bills went into Pittsburgh last season and claimed a 17-10 victory in Week 15 as 1-point dogs. It was a memorable trip for the Bills as it was their 10th win of the season and they clinched a playoff berth. They outscored the Steelers 10-0 in the final quarter and Allen finished with a passing touchdown and a rushing touchdown.
  • The Steelers are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. the Bills, and they had won 6 straight in the series before last year’s loss.

Betting stats:

Steelers at Bills: Key injuries

Steelers at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 34, Steelers 23

Money line ( ?)

The Bills (-135) have definitely been playing better than the Steelers (+115) as of late, and I’m calling for a Buffalo win here. However, instead of laying the -135 juice, I’ll lay the points with the spread below. PASS.

Against the spread ( ?)

BUFFALO -1.5 ( -110) is the STRONGEST PLAY1½ times your usual wager. The home team will take care of business against a Steelers squad that is struggling.

Over/Under ( ?)

Back the OVER 45.5 ( -115). Both teams have averaged 27.8 points per game this season. While Pittsburgh has to figure some offensive issues out, Buffalo has averaged 33.8 PPG in its last four games. The Over should hit early in the fourth quarter if not sooner.

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Johnny’s 2020 NFL record / Strongest plays

19-16-1 / 7-7-1

2019 NFL record / Strongest plays

17-10-1 / 7-4

2020 overall record (all sports)

160-120-3

Strongest plays (all sports)

78-47-1

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