UFC Vegas 17 Betting Prediction: Greg Hardy vs. Marcin Tybura

The next UFC fight night is shaping up to be a stacked event. Looking at the main card, you can see the excellent matchups. One matchup to keep an eye on is the heavyweight showdown between Marcin Tybura and Greg Hardy.

Date: Sat., Dec 19, 6:00 P.M.

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: ESPN+

Marcin Tybura (20-6-0)

Tybura is currently on a three-fight unanimous decision winning streak heading into this one. His most recent victory was against Ben Rothwell back in October, and he is undefeated in 2020.

His fighting resume shows that he has seven wins by knockout, six by submission, and seven by decision. He also has eight first-round finishes with a combination of knockouts and submissions.

“Tybur” has a striking accuracy at 50 percent and a grappling accuracy at 47 percent. He lands 3.60 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.13. This is a solid ratio, showing averages that are not too volatile.

Tybura has a takedown defense at 82 percent and a significant strike defense at 57 percent. He also averages 1.63 takedowns and 0.10 submissions every 15 minutes.

Greg Hardy (7-2-0)

Hardy is coming into this matchup with a two-fight winning streak. He is also undefeated in 2020, wins his most recent fight being a TKO against Maurice Greene.

His fighting resume shows that he has six wins by knockout and one by decision. Out of his six knockouts, five of them are first-round finishes.

“Prince of War” has a striking accuracy at 49 percent and a grappling accuracy at 33 percent. He lands 4.77 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.78. That ratio is excellent, especially if he keeps defending well.

Hardy has a takedown defense at 83 percent and a significant strike defense at 57 percent. He also averages 0.24 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Odds For This Event

The market seems to be calling this one close. For the moneyline, BetDSI has the odds currently placed at:

Tybura: -102

Hardy: -118

* odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

The market has every reason to want to call this one as close as it is. You could almost flip a coin here to decide your winner.

Both fighters are undefeated for 2020, and they both possess excellent stoppage ability. Hardy is a knockout threat, while Tybura is a mix of both submission and knockout threat.

Hardy has a decent takedown defense but has not fought many fighters that were aggressive in the attempts. However, he still manages well against fighters looking to do that.

Tybura has an advantage when it comes to experience. If this fight stays standing, it is a matter of time before one of them lands a knockout.

Overall, Hardy looks appealing here. You could argue either way, but offensively, Hardy has the edge when standing.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Hardy wins via TKO, at -118.

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